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Why Real Estate Outperforms Stocks and Bonds

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When I first began buying rental houses and apartment buildings, I could easily find properties that offered net unleveraged rental yields* of 10 to 16 percent. In some areas of the country, such as the Midwest, you can still achieve such favorable results. More typically, today’s rental properties yield four to eight percent.

You might tell me that four to eight percent doesn’t seem like a great rate of return. But relative to stocks and bonds, properties win hands down. Let me explain why.

Why Rental Properties Outperform Stocks

At present, the annual dividend (income) yield on the S&P 500 stock index barely reaches 1.8 percent, and just .45 percent on NASDAQ stocks. The Dow-Jones (DJIA) is somewhat higher, at around 2.25 percent. If you follow the advice that says you must diversify across a broad variety of stocks, you might achieve a yearly income of $15,000 to $20,000 (1.5 to 2 percent average yield) from a stock portfolio valued at $1 million. In contrast, a million in property value would return a rental income (net of expenses) of $40,000 to $80,000 a year.

So the message is clear. If you accumulate a million dollars in stocks and are determined to survive above the poverty level in the future, you’ll need to eat your nest egg. But accumulate a million dollars in property and, to live an average-to-above-average lifestyle, you’ll never need to eat your nest egg. And your net worth doesn’t diminish.

Why Rental Properties Outperform Bonds

Currently, long-term investment grade bonds yield about 4.5 to 6.0 percent. Without taking on much default risk, that means you could count on receiving $50,000 to $60,000 a year from bonds for each $1 million you invest. Bonds deliver income returns that approach the level of income offered by high-quality rental properties. Also, compared with a fully diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds clearly rank superior, but here’s the rub:

Your bond income will not increase as the result of inflation or economic growth and, as consumer prices go up, the buying power of your bond income will continuously erode. In terms of purchasing power, $60,000 of income today will equal $40,000 after just 10 years. In contrast, over time, both stock dividends and property rents tend to climb each year to higher levels.

So what’s the verdict? Stock income increases over time, but the puny yield produces too little income. Bonds return a better yield than stocks, but fail to offer the possibility of growth. Worse, in an inflationary economy, the real value of bond income declines.

So if history is any indicator, it is clear that you will achieve an extremely competitive yield, growth, and protection against inflation with rental property.

 * Rent collections, less all cash expenses and mortgage financing. You calculate this figure by dividing the price of the property into its net income; e.g., $10,000/$100,000 = 10 percent yield.

For more ways to leverage more income from your money, be sure to read the new book Trump University Wealth Building 101: Your First 90 Days on the Path to Prosperity.  Available soon from Trump University and all major booksellers.

Gary Eldred, PhD is Professor of Real Estate at Trump University, where he teaches The Real Estate Investor Training Program.

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6 Comments

[-] Posted by member1600131 on 07/20/2007 8:36 AM
Hi Mr. Trump
Thank you for unleashing the insights of rental business. I am not in real Estate business, but it's attracting me day by day. Thank you for teachings in real estate.

Rajesh Shakya
http://www.rajeshshakya.com
Helping technopreneurs to excel and lead their life!
[-] Posted by member1624120 on 07/20/2007 9:47 AM
That is a silly and incorrect analysis. You have completely forgotten about capital appreciation. For example, in the past 5 years the S&P index has returned 12.9% annually on average. In addition you achieve the diversification of owning over 500 companies in many industries. Buy a global index and you become even more diversified.

Home price appreciation (a.k.a. capital appreciation) on real estate for the same period is roughly 4.5% [www.ofheo.gov]. Combine this amount with the monthly rental income and you still don't come close to performance of owning stocks.

It's all about balancing risk and reward. The current market data doesn't support an investment in real estate versus a diversified portfolio of stocks.

The bottom line is that real estate takes more risk and doesn't reward you enough for that risk.
[-] Posted by member1625894 on 07/22/2007 10:54 AM
I agree with you I had some real estate property at one time and was making good residual cashflow. I ended up getting rid of them because of some personal problems. Eventually I will purchase some more properties. Right now I am pursuing other opportunities. I believe people should pursue a mind their own business other than being an employee their whole lives.

Susan
http://www.susanvlz.blogspot.com
[-] Posted by Sophia Tesch on 07/23/2007 2:33 PM
I am going to yeild to your expertise on this one, as far as saying that real estate is a better investment. I live in the area of Phoenix, Arizona. We are still reeling from investors, many from California, who created a housing market bubble that has burst. Now houses are overpriced and the market is flooded. Ouch!

This effects my company because there are not as many spec homes being built. We have had to lay some guys off. The investors are waiting for the prices to plunge again before they re-engage the market, this leaves many who legitimately need to purchase a home for a primary residence, in a bad situation. Not to mention the track home industry that was booming has all but come to a stand still.

I suppose these are the unintentional consequeces of people making their money.
[-] Posted by member1627381 on 07/25/2007 12:38 PM
I have done well with real estate and financial freedom and the comments made on this BLOG debatable as each point is valid reveals that what the mindset is for each person will prevail what is in the bank. The inner knowing and intuition at the time life unfolds will shape your beliefs about whether real estate is a better investment than stocks and bonds or other investment portfolio's. I see Trump as saying it is a better way because it was good to him and excitement in something experienced at his level causes him to want to share that mindset. However, there are billionaires who will attest to stocks and bonds as their experience showed them the "money". My comment is to add value to your insights in looking at what works best for you according to your own experiences as you must already know, what you have experienced so far leads to your next quest in this life, just pay attention with an awareness of where you are and where you can go and money and other wealth will follow.
Sabrina (real estate investor, musician, author, "an ideas person"!)
[-] Posted by member1838900 on 08/15/2008 12:40 PM
Investors From Europe Buy Real Estate In United States

Many investor from europe and the uk are buying real estate in the united states.
I've interviewed a real estate agent in california a week ago and he was telling me how much the market was bad until he started to work with investors from europe and the uk.
"They just have a lot of money" he said.
"I met them during a spring brake in europe. I said to my self there is no work anyway so I will go and travel a little bit.
I think it's the best vacation I ever had and it's still continuing , the only difference is that now I'm actually making money".

Investors don't need any green card, good credit, bad credit or visa.
They only need to put a least 35% of the purchase price as a down payment.
These investors will get a higher interest rate and if they will put 50% as a down payment they will probably get a much lower interest rate.

Today the euro is much higher then the dollar.
So if the american investors are excited about the foreclosures can you imagine the europeans?
For the europeans everything is much cheaper than for americans, because the value of the euro as oppose to the dollar.
Can a foreigner really get a loan in america?
Sure they can get a loan, just like an american investor can get a hard money loan without showing any credit information, they just need to show interest. interest for a mortgage lender is measured with money. banks or hard money lenders will loan you the money but you will have to put as a down payment a big chunk of your money. Than you will not going to loose the property you've purchased and get the banks in trouble.

Also there are many banks out there that are selling their Loans or notes to foreigners just because they need to take some loans off of their shelves, just the way you're trying to avoid foreclosure or trying just to sell the house.
Banks today have to deal with so many issues like foreclosures, bankruptcies, notes and money in general.
Most banks that have loaned money to borrowers in the past 3 years are not protected or insured.
Three years ago the bank started to loan 1st and 2nd mortgages, 2nd mortgages are the cause of them not having mortgage insurance. So because they don't have mortgage insurance they will loose their money if a foreclosure is placed.

So why did the banks offered borrowers 2nd mortgages?
Because it was easy to qualify and a lot of borrowers tried to avoid refinancing their 1st mortgage.
Banks just wanted to make money and more money and that's what they did.
Now the banks are not willing to Loan 2nd mortgages anymore.
Read other articles I wrote to learn more about mortgage insurance.
http;//hardmoneyloans.org
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