Is there a correlation? I say yes! As the price for a gallon of gas blows by the $3 mark and according to experts could “bee-line” towards $4, I would say that this is further bad news for suburbanites living more than 30 minutes from the business epicenters of major cities. People’s fears about the long commutes to work and the fuel costs associated with long drives twice per day, will one day soon change their minds about where they should live.
It’s my belief that they will start choosing to live much closer “in” to those cities to avoid some of the rising fuel costs they certainly face. This could have the biggest effect on home prices in those “outlying” areas and push prices down even lower. Since in most metropolitan areas, this is also where new construction occurs, look for further slow-downs in new home construction for the same reason.
Conversely, if you are an urban-dweller and either live in the city or are looking to invest in real estate, note that the demand for properties near larger employment areas like “downtowns” in major cities should be on the rise. This should help level out some of the effects a somewhat slumping housing market. For investors, when buying real estate in today’s economy, focus on areas that have the highest demand such as those within major urban city limits. After all, as demand rises, so do prices!
All of these factors should be on the mind of today’s real estate investor. Remember in all times there are emerging opportunities the key is to identify them before everyone else does and get out in front of the demand curve.
Please post your comments or questions about any other interesting affects you might consider gas prices to have on the real estate market as I would love to hear them.
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9 Comments
it was a snowballing process.
let's find a way to make those commodities looks suck.
The real-estate/mortgage disaster...self inflicted All got caught ~
Passion to know the difference and curb the inflictiion. The economy was very ill...now just getting more ill.
can do about the stock market price of a barrel of oil.
Oil is purchased and sold globally everyday (supposedly)
based on supply and demand. The price of oil affects the
prices of a gallon of gasoline which varies from country
to country, state to state, city to city, and locally from gas
station to gas station.
Selling your home and moving into or closer to the area
where you work should be carefully considered. There
is much more at stake when you relocate. For example,
will your property taxes rise? Will the price of your rent
or mortgage be affordable? Moving expenses, telephone
and cable charges, electricity, water and other expenses
should be added to determine the actual cost of relocating.
When you change your address there is a service charge
you will have to pay to reconnect the service.
If you have children attending school ,will the quality of their
education be better or worse? Schools are not all equal.
If they are involved in after-school activities, how will they be
affected by this change? How wil this change affect the
friendhips they have developed with other students?
If you are single, without children, will you let the price of gas
affect your social life? Often the price of food at restaurants are
higher the closer you get to large metropolitan areas.
Entertainment can cost more even if there is greater variety.
Will your paycheck remain the same or will you get a raise to
justify these new expenses?
Gas prices fluctuate and so does the price of real estate.
If you can find real estate at a price you can afford without
putting yourself into a disaster ( like a future foreclosure
because you failed to do your homework) then "go for it!"
"Moving on up" has always been a real estate goal.
Just be sure you're moving UP not DOWN.
If anything, I actually think that telecommuting will continue to grow, which will to a small degree reduce dependancy on driving. But no, I don't see fuel prices as the core issue of white flight, which is IME a strong driving factor in more recent decades' suburbanization. I understand the history of the suburb and how our infrastructure was built largely with the automobile in mind, but that has changed since the political upheaval of the 1960's.
What I do see is continued urban renewal for younger types and a strong future in (increasingly) more rural, secured neighborhoods and communities for those with children and retirement to consider. That's where I would diversify my money.
Personally, to move to the city on my income and all things considered, my lifestyle would be reduced by about 4X.
is mass transit. Buses are everywhere but alot of people
view this as a stigma instead of an affordable means of
transportation. For instance, in Connecticut where I live,
there are buses that follow a regular schedule everyday.
I took a bus into New Haven to go to a Trump
Institute Real Estate seminar because I didn't want to
drive in congested traffic with maniacs that run each
other off the road to get to their destination 10 seconds
earlier. Parking is a big problem too.
I have to admit I didn't like the experience. The people
on the bus did not look professional. In fact, many of
them looked like street people. Why?
If hard-working people are so interested in the cost of
gas, why aren't they using the services that already
exist?
Is this an Arrogant American Stereotype that
needs to be changed?
Thanks for the posts and please continue to come back and do so. Your opinion is valued here. Brett
It seems gas and heating fuel prices seem to run the same slope. Being in a rural community, here, as far as housing, we are seeing lots of wood stoves being installed. I believe that the few who are building will probably be looking for cost effective energy efficient products and designs to reduce costs as well. Also, vacation homes are up for sale.